Saturday, October 5, 2024
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Bitcoin’s long-term holders set record high – What it means for BTC

Bitcoin long-term holders have been buying aggressively.
MicroStrategy’s convertible debt will enable more purchase of Bitcoin.

Bitcoin [BTC] continued to demonstrate strength as the crypto market rebounded after a six-month downturn. Long-term holders’ actions are crucial for BTC traders, offering insights into trade timing.

Over the last two months, long-term holders have accumulated more BTC, marking the highest accumulation period in the last three years.

Additionally, these investors, along with new entrants, have collectively purchased over 1 million BTC since from the year 2022.

This aggressive buying behavior signals strong confidence in Bitcoin’s future. Some of the earliest Bitcoin mining addresses have recently become active, further increasing the long-term supply of BTC.

Source: Glassnode

MicroStrategy (MSTR) leads top 10 performing stocks in the S&P 500, continues to support Bitcoin with gains of over 1000% since adopting its BTC strategy.

Recently, MSTR issued $1 billion in convertible debt at a low 0.625% interest rate to redeem $500 million of senior secured notes with a 6.125% rate to fund the purchase of Bitcoins.

This move reduced its blended interest rate to 0.81% from 1.6%, lowering annual interest expenses.

Source: X

Remarkably, this debt offering also strengthens MicroStrategy’s balance sheet, allowing it to potentially acquire more Bitcoin in the future, even if BTC prices fall.

The ongoing acquisitions by major institutions like MSTR position Bitcoin for future growth.

Bitcoin 3-day MACD crossed bullish

Moreover, BTC’s 3-day MACD has crossed into bullish territory, signaling continued strength as BTC trades above $63K.

With expectations of breaking the $65,000 level soon, Bitcoin is showing resilience and a growing trend of reclaiming the 100-day moving average.

This upward momentum suggested that being bearish on BTC at this time may be risky, especially as Bitcoin appears poised to reach new highs.

Source: Seth/X

Performance from cycle lows

Finally, analyzing Bitcoin’s price performance since its cycle lows revealed that in the last three market cycles, BTC has consistently finished higher in the month of September.

Bitcoin is up approximately 300% from the low of the current cycle. If BTC continues its historical pattern and finishes the year between the previous cycles, the price target could potentially reach $108K.

With improving market conditions, this target is becoming increasingly possible.

Source: Glassnode

Read Bitcoin’s [BTC] Price Prediction 2024–2025

Bitcoin’s strong institutional backing, increasing long-term holder activity, and bullish technical indicators point to the possibility of BTC price moving significantly higher in the near future.

The growing confidence among investors and major players like MicroStrategy only strengthens the outlook for Bitcoin as it continues to rise in both price and market dominance.

Next: Ethereum’s bullish week: 5 million active addresses drive 14.5% gain

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